CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemesis#43 in the world · win 1:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageBebop pick
64%60%
Nemesis · 7 mapsnearly even +4%Bebop · 11 maps
NukeBebop ban
77%22%
Nemesis · 9 mapsedge Nemesis +55%Bebop · 5 maps
AncientNemesis pick
50%29%
Nemesis · 8 mapsedge Nemesis +21%Bebop · 3 maps
Dust2Nemesis ban
56%80%
Nemesis · 5 mapsedge Bebop +24%Bebop · 6 maps
Infernopossible decider
64%63%
Nemesis · 7 mapsnearly even +1%Bebop · 4 maps
DefaultBebop ban
60%36%
Nemesis · 1 mapedge Nemesis +24%Bebop · 7 maps
AnubisNemesis ban
50%43%
Nemesis · 0 mapsedge Nemesis +7%Bebop · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNemesis remove Anubis
2. BanBebop remove Nuke
3. PickNemesis take Ancient
4. PickBebop take Mirage
5. BanBebop remove Default
6. BanNemesis remove Dust2
DeciderInferno (64% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Nemesis 72%Bebop 28%
The model gave 72% on Nemesis — the map was taken by Nemesis.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemesis · 74%
Series resultNemesis 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1