European Pro League Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
INFINITE#71 in the world · win 2:1series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Oxuji#173 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeOxuji pick
50%62%
INFINITE · 4 mapsedge Oxuji +12%Oxuji · 17 maps
Dust2Oxuji ban
57%50%
INFINITE · 3 mapsedge INFINITE +7%Oxuji · 16 maps
Ancientpossible decider
63%64%
INFINITE · 4 mapsnearly even -1%Oxuji · 10 maps
MirageINFINITE pick
64%55%
INFINITE · 7 mapsedge INFINITE +9%Oxuji · 7 maps
InfernoOxuji ban
50%33%
INFINITE · 2 mapsedge INFINITE +17%Oxuji · 8 maps
AnubisINFINITE ban
60%38%
INFINITE · 1 mapedge INFINITE +22%Oxuji · 4 maps
DefaultINFINITE ban
50%75%
INFINITE · 0 mapsedge Oxuji +25%Oxuji · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINFINITE remove Anubis
2. BanOxuji remove Inferno
3. PickINFINITE take Mirage
4. PickOxuji take Nuke
5. BanOxuji remove Dust2
6. BanINFINITE remove Default
DeciderAncient (63% / 64%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct6:13
INFINITE 35%Oxuji 65%
The model gave 65% on Oxuji — the map was taken by Oxuji.
Mirageprediction correct13:8
INFINITE 62%Oxuji 38%
The model gave 62% on INFINITE — the map was taken by INFINITE.
Dust2prediction correct13:11
INFINITE 57%Oxuji 43%
The model gave 57% on INFINITE — the map was taken by INFINITE.
Model check result
Model favoriteINFINITE · 54%
Series resultINFINITE 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3