IEM Cologne Major 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Aurora#6 in the world · win 2:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BETBOOM#13 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeBETBOOM pick
45%57%
Aurora · 7 mapsedge BETBOOM +12%BETBOOM · 10 maps
Dust2Aurora ban
55%69%
Aurora · 7 mapsedge BETBOOM +14%BETBOOM · 9 maps
MirageBETBOOM ban
60%40%
Aurora · 1 mapedge Aurora +20%BETBOOM · 6 maps
AnubisAurora pick
63%67%
Aurora · 4 mapsnearly even -4%BETBOOM · 2 maps
OverpassBETBOOM ban
67%29%
Aurora · 2 mapsedge Aurora +38%BETBOOM · 3 maps
AncientAurora ban
50%63%
Aurora · 0 mapsedge BETBOOM +13%BETBOOM · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAurora remove Ancient
2. BanBETBOOM remove Overpass
3. PickAurora take Anubis
4. PickBETBOOM take Nuke
5. BanBETBOOM remove Mirage
6. BanAurora remove Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:6
Aurora 36%BETBOOM 64%
The model gave 64% on BETBOOM — the map was taken by Aurora.
Anubisprediction missed13:9
Aurora 48%BETBOOM 52%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM — the map was taken by Aurora.
Model check result
Model favoriteAurora · 64%
Series resultAurora 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2