CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
TDK#86 in the world · win 2:0series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Ursa#88 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Ursa pick
75%50%
TDK · 12 mapsedge TDK +25%Ursa · 22 maps
MirageTDK ban
46%50%
TDK · 9 mapsnearly even -4%Ursa · 10 maps
OverpassTDK pick
75%45%
TDK · 12 mapsedge TDK +30%Ursa · 7 maps
InfernoUrsa ban
44%33%
TDK · 5 mapsedge TDK +11%Ursa · 11 maps
NukeTDK ban
40%41%
TDK · 1 mapnearly even -1%Ursa · 13 maps
AncientUrsa ban
64%50%
TDK · 10 mapsedge TDK +14%Ursa · 0 maps
Anubispossible decider
50%57%
TDK · 4 mapsedge Ursa +7%Ursa · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTDK remove Nuke
2. BanUrsa remove Ancient
3. PickTDK take Overpass
4. PickUrsa take Dust2
5. BanUrsa remove Inferno
6. BanTDK remove Mirage
DeciderAnubis (50% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
TDK 50%Ursa 50%
The model gave 50% on TDK — the map was taken by TDK.
Overpassprediction correct13:9
TDK 80%Ursa 20%
The model gave 80% on TDK — the map was taken by TDK.
Model check result
Model favoriteTDK · 57%
Series resultTDK 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2