?
arrow_backBack to match
CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
PsychoFace#202 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Virtus.pro#50 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Virtus.pro ban
50%55%
PsychoFace · 16 mapsedge Virtus.pro +5%Virtus.pro · 7 maps
OverpassPsychoFace pick
73%64%
PsychoFace · 7 mapsedge PsychoFace +9%Virtus.pro · 7 maps
Miragepossible decider
42%56%
PsychoFace · 8 mapsedge Virtus.pro +14%Virtus.pro · 5 maps
NukeVirtus.pro pick
38%71%
PsychoFace · 9 mapsedge Virtus.pro +33%Virtus.pro · 3 maps
AnubisPsychoFace ban
50%50%
PsychoFace · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Virtus.pro · 4 maps
AncientPsychoFace ban
25%63%
PsychoFace · 4 mapsedge Virtus.pro +38%Virtus.pro · 4 maps
DefaultVirtus.pro ban
50%40%
PsychoFace · 2 mapsedge PsychoFace +10%Virtus.pro · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPsychoFace remove Ancient
2. BanVirtus.pro remove Dust2
3. PickPsychoFace take Overpass
4. PickVirtus.pro take Nuke
5. BanVirtus.pro remove Default
6. BanPsychoFace remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (42% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:11
PsychoFace 48%Virtus.pro 52%
The model gave 52% on Virtus.pro — the map was taken by PsychoFace.
Mirageprediction correct11:13
PsychoFace 34%Virtus.pro 66%
The model gave 66% on Virtus.pro — the map was taken by Virtus.pro.
Overpassprediction missed5:13
PsychoFace 60%Virtus.pro 40%
The model gave 60% on PsychoFace — the map was taken by Virtus.pro.
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 64%
Series resultVirtus.pro 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3