CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
SPARTA#96 in the world · win 2:0series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
G2 Ares#103 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SPARTA pick
58%54%
SPARTA · 20 mapsnearly even +4%G2 Ares · 9 maps
MirageSPARTA ban
44%56%
SPARTA · 12 mapsedge G2 Ares +12%G2 Ares · 12 maps
AncientG2 Ares ban
29%55%
SPARTA · 13 mapsedge G2 Ares +26%G2 Ares · 7 maps
InfernoG2 Ares pick
45%57%
SPARTA · 7 mapsedge G2 Ares +12%G2 Ares · 10 maps
Overpasspossible decider
50%43%
SPARTA · 6 mapsedge SPARTA +7%G2 Ares · 10 maps
NukeG2 Ares ban
44%50%
SPARTA · 12 mapsedge G2 Ares +6%G2 Ares · 0 maps
AnubisSPARTA ban
50%57%
SPARTA · 0 mapsedge G2 Ares +7%G2 Ares · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSPARTA remove Anubis
2. BanG2 Ares remove Nuke
3. PickSPARTA take Dust2
4. PickG2 Ares take Inferno
5. BanG2 Ares remove Ancient
6. BanSPARTA remove Mirage
DeciderOverpass (50% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct16:14
SPARTA 58%G2 Ares 42%
The model gave 58% on SPARTA — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Infernoprediction missed13:3
SPARTA 36%G2 Ares 64%
The model gave 64% on G2 Ares — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Ares · 51%
Series resultSPARTA 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2