CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 2:1
RUSTEC#124 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2RUSTEC ban
78%38%
Bebop · 5 mapsedge Bebop +40%RUSTEC · 12 maps
MirageBebop pick
64%50%
Bebop · 10 mapsedge Bebop +14%RUSTEC · 6 maps
Nukepossible decider
22%40%
Bebop · 5 mapsedge RUSTEC +18%RUSTEC · 6 maps
InfernoBebop ban
57%75%
Bebop · 3 mapsedge RUSTEC +18%RUSTEC · 4 maps
DefaultRUSTEC pick
30%50%
Bebop · 6 mapsedge RUSTEC +20%RUSTEC · 0 maps
OverpassBebop ban
60%44%
Bebop · 1 mapedge Bebop +16%RUSTEC · 5 maps
AnubisRUSTEC ban
43%33%
Bebop · 3 mapsedge Bebop +10%RUSTEC · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBebop remove Overpass
2. BanRUSTEC remove Anubis
3. PickBebop take Mirage
4. PickRUSTEC take Default
5. BanRUSTEC remove Dust2
6. BanBebop remove Inferno
DeciderNuke (22% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed16:12
Bebop 28%RUSTEC 72%
The model gave 72% on RUSTEC — the map was taken by Bebop.
Mirageprediction missed10:13
Bebop 67%RUSTEC 33%
The model gave 67% on Bebop — the map was taken by RUSTEC.
Dust2prediction correct13:9
Bebop 85%RUSTEC 15%
The model gave 85% on Bebop — the map was taken by Bebop.
Model check result
Model favoriteRUSTEC · 58%
Series resultBebop 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3