Esports World Cup 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
9z#17 in the world · win 13:3series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 13:3
paiN#29 in the world · loss 3:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Nuke9z ban
55%53%
9z · 7 mapsnearly even +2%paiN · 13 maps
Dust2possible decider
56%50%
9z · 12 mapsedge 9z +6%paiN · 6 maps
InfernopaiN ban
57%50%
9z · 10 mapsedge 9z +7%paiN · 6 maps
Mirage9z ban
46%50%
9z · 9 mapsnearly even -4%paiN · 4 maps
OverpasspaiN ban
67%56%
9z · 8 mapsedge 9z +11%paiN · 5 maps
AncientpaiN ban
38%50%
9z · 4 mapsedge paiN +12%paiN · 0 maps
Anubis9z ban
50%50%
9z · 0 mapsnearly even +0%paiN · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban9z remove Anubis
2. BanpaiN remove Ancient
3. Ban9z remove Mirage
4. BanpaiN remove Inferno
5. Ban9z remove Nuke
6. BanpaiN remove Overpass
DeciderDust2 (56% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:3
9z 50%paiN 50%
The model gave 50% on 9z — the map was taken by 9z.
Model check result
Model favorite9z · 67%
Series result9z 13:3
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1