ESEA Advanced Season 57 North America · BO3
result vs prediction
Club 333#229 in the world · win 2:0series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Olympus#190 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Club 333 pick
43%60%
Club 333 · 3 mapsedge Olympus +17%Olympus · 1 map
NukeOlympus pick
33%60%
Club 333 · 2 mapsedge Olympus +27%Olympus · 1 map
AncientClub 333 ban
50%67%
Club 333 · 0 mapsedge Olympus +17%Olympus · 2 maps
MirageOlympus ban
50%50%
Club 333 · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Olympus · 0 maps
InfernoOlympus ban
40%50%
Club 333 · 1 mapedge Olympus +10%Olympus · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanClub 333 remove Ancient
2. BanOlympus remove Mirage
3. PickClub 333 take Dust2
4. PickOlympus take Nuke
5. BanOlympus remove Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:8
Club 333 23%Olympus 77%
The model gave 77% on Olympus — the map was taken by Club 333.
Infernoprediction missed13:10
Club 333 43%Olympus 57%
The model gave 57% on Olympus — the map was taken by Club 333.
Model check result
Model favoriteClub 333 · 56%
Series resultClub 333 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2