LeonBet Masters Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Fluxo#56 in the world · win 2:0series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nordic Partners#118 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeFluxo pick
63%50%
Fluxo · 28 mapsedge Fluxo +13%Nordic Partners · 2 maps
Miragepossible decider
68%71%
Fluxo · 18 mapsnearly even -3%Nordic Partners · 3 maps
AnubisNordic Partners pick
43%42%
Fluxo · 10 mapsnearly even +1%Nordic Partners · 8 maps
Dust2Nordic Partners ban
53%29%
Fluxo · 15 mapsedge Fluxo +24%Nordic Partners · 3 maps
CacheFluxo ban
50%38%
Fluxo · 12 mapsedge Fluxo +12%Nordic Partners · 4 maps
InfernoNordic Partners ban
56%33%
Fluxo · 14 mapsedge Fluxo +23%Nordic Partners · 2 maps
AncientFluxo ban
50%33%
Fluxo · 0 mapsedge Fluxo +17%Nordic Partners · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFluxo remove Ancient
2. BanNordic Partners remove Dust2
3. PickFluxo take Nuke
4. PickNordic Partners take Anubis
5. BanNordic Partners remove Inferno
6. BanFluxo remove Cache
DeciderMirage (68% / 71%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:6
Fluxo 48%Nordic Partners 52%
The model gave 52% on Nordic Partners — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Mirageprediction missed13:10
Fluxo 49%Nordic Partners 51%
The model gave 51% on Nordic Partners — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Model check result
Model favoriteFluxo · 73%
Series resultFluxo 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2