?
arrow_backBack to match
CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
ex-RUBY#99 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:2
INOX Division#66 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2INOX Division pick
67%74%
ex-RUBY · 23 mapsedge INOX Division +7%INOX Division · 15 maps
Nukeex-RUBY pick
77%67%
ex-RUBY · 18 mapsedge ex-RUBY +10%INOX Division · 17 maps
Overpasspossible decider
63%53%
ex-RUBY · 12 mapsedge ex-RUBY +10%INOX Division · 11 maps
Ancientex-RUBY ban
40%64%
ex-RUBY · 11 mapsedge INOX Division +24%INOX Division · 7 maps
Infernoex-RUBY ban
50%59%
ex-RUBY · 0 mapsedge INOX Division +9%INOX Division · 13 maps
MirageINOX Division ban
41%50%
ex-RUBY · 13 mapsedge INOX Division +9%INOX Division · 0 maps
AnubisINOX Division ban
60%40%
ex-RUBY · 1 mapedge ex-RUBY +20%INOX Division · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-RUBY remove Inferno
2. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
3. Pickex-RUBY take Nuke
4. PickINOX Division take Dust2
5. BanINOX Division remove Anubis
6. Banex-RUBY remove Ancient
DeciderOverpass (63% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed5:13
ex-RUBY 60%INOX Division 40%
The model gave 60% on ex-RUBY — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Ancientprediction missed13:11
ex-RUBY 30%INOX Division 70%
The model gave 70% on INOX Division — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Dust2prediction correct2:13
ex-RUBY 42%INOX Division 58%
The model gave 58% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUBY · 53%
Series resultINOX Division 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3