NODWIN Clutch Series 11 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Inner Circle Academy#80 in the world · win 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-Zero Tenacity pick
57%55%
Inner Circle Academy · 19 mapsnearly even +2%ex-Zero Tenacity · 16 maps
NukeInner Circle Academy ban
40%53%
Inner Circle Academy · 11 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +13%ex-Zero Tenacity · 13 maps
AnubisInner Circle Academy pick
61%44%
Inner Circle Academy · 14 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +17%ex-Zero Tenacity · 5 maps
Ancientex-Zero Tenacity ban
41%50%
Inner Circle Academy · 18 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +9%ex-Zero Tenacity · 0 maps
Miragepossible decider
58%45%
Inner Circle Academy · 8 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +13%ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 maps
InfernoInner Circle Academy ban
40%36%
Inner Circle Academy · 1 mapnearly even +4%ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 maps
Overpassex-Zero Tenacity ban
50%40%
Inner Circle Academy · 0 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +10%ex-Zero Tenacity · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanInner Circle Academy remove Inferno
2. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Ancient
3. PickInner Circle Academy take Anubis
4. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Dust2
5. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Overpass
6. BanInner Circle Academy remove Nuke
DeciderMirage (58% / 45%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:7
Inner Circle Academy 69%ex-Zero Tenacity 31%
The model gave 69% on Inner Circle Academy — the map was taken by Inner Circle Academy.
Nukeprediction missed13:8
Inner Circle Academy 34%ex-Zero Tenacity 66%
The model gave 66% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by Inner Circle Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-Zero Tenacity · 50%
Series resultInner Circle Academy 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2