ROG JOURNEY Summer 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Alliance#22 in the world · win 2:0series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 2:0
EAC#76 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Nukepossible decider
45%38%
Alliance · 7 mapsedge Alliance +7%EAC · 9 maps
AncientAlliance ban
50%50%
Alliance · 4 mapsnearly even +0%EAC · 6 maps
InfernoAlliance pick
75%33%
Alliance · 8 mapsedge Alliance +42%EAC · 2 maps
OverpassEAC pick
33%50%
Alliance · 2 mapsedge EAC +17%EAC · 8 maps
AnubisEAC ban
33%50%
Alliance · 5 mapsedge EAC +17%EAC · 0 maps
MirageAlliance ban
50%56%
Alliance · 0 mapsedge EAC +6%EAC · 5 maps
Dust2EAC ban
50%50%
Alliance · 4 mapsnearly even +0%EAC · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAlliance remove Mirage
2. BanEAC remove Dust2
3. PickAlliance take Inferno
4. PickEAC take Overpass
5. BanEAC remove Anubis
6. BanAlliance remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (45% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:5
Alliance 54%EAC 46%
The model gave 54% on Alliance — the map was taken by Alliance.
Infernoprediction correct13:7
Alliance 87%EAC 13%
The model gave 87% on Alliance — the map was taken by Alliance.
Model check result
Model favoriteAlliance · 80%
Series resultAlliance 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2