ROG JOURNEY Summer 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gatorianloss 1:2series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:2
EAC#76 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Nukepossible decider
67%38%
Gatorian · 2 mapsedge Gatorian +29%EAC · 9 maps
AncientGatorian pick
63%44%
Gatorian · 4 mapsedge Gatorian +19%EAC · 5 maps
OverpassEAC pick
40%50%
Gatorian · 1 mapedge EAC +10%EAC · 8 maps
MirageGatorian ban
33%50%
Gatorian · 2 mapsedge EAC +17%EAC · 4 maps
AnubisEAC ban
40%50%
Gatorian · 1 mapedge EAC +10%EAC · 0 maps
Dust2EAC ban
40%50%
Gatorian · 1 mapedge EAC +10%EAC · 0 maps
InfernoGatorian ban
50%40%
Gatorian · 0 mapsedge Gatorian +10%EAC · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGatorian remove Inferno
2. BanEAC remove Dust2
3. PickGatorian take Ancient
4. PickEAC take Overpass
5. BanEAC remove Anubis
6. BanGatorian remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (67% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed11:13
Gatorian 70%EAC 30%
The model gave 70% on Gatorian — the map was taken by EAC.
Infernoprediction correct13:8
Gatorian 57%EAC 43%
The model gave 57% on Gatorian — the map was taken by Gatorian.
Mirageprediction correct13:16
Gatorian 33%EAC 67%
The model gave 67% on EAC — the map was taken by EAC.
Model check result
Model favoriteEAC · 60%
Series resultEAC 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3