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UKIC Masters Summer 2026 Finals · BO5
result vs prediction
The Last Resort#159 in the world · win 3:1
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 3:1
Dripmen#231 in the world · loss 1:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
OverpassThe Last Resort pick
62%50%
The Last Resort · 9 mapsedge The Last Resort +12%Dripmen · 4 maps
AncientDripmen ban
58%33%
The Last Resort · 8 mapsedge The Last Resort +25%Dripmen · 2 maps
NukeDripmen pick
33%60%
The Last Resort · 8 mapsedge Dripmen +27%Dripmen · 1 map
DefaultThe Last Resort pick
60%40%
The Last Resort · 1 mapedge The Last Resort +20%Dripmen · 6 maps
InfernoDripmen pick
43%57%
The Last Resort · 3 mapsedge Dripmen +14%Dripmen · 3 maps
Miragepossible decider
30%50%
The Last Resort · 6 mapsedge Dripmen +20%Dripmen · 0 maps
Dust2The Last Resort ban
40%29%
The Last Resort · 1 mapedge The Last Resort +11%Dripmen · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanThe Last Resort remove Dust2
2. BanDripmen remove Ancient
3. PickThe Last Resort take Overpass
4. PickDripmen take Inferno
5. PickThe Last Resort take Default
6. PickDripmen take Nuke
DeciderMirage (30% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:9
The Last Resort 76%Dripmen 24%
The model gave 76% on The Last Resort — the map was taken by The Last Resort.
Overpassprediction correct13:7
The Last Resort 59%Dripmen 41%
The model gave 59% on The Last Resort — the map was taken by The Last Resort.
Nukeprediction correct1:13
The Last Resort 27%Dripmen 73%
The model gave 73% on Dripmen — the map was taken by Dripmen.
Infernoprediction missed13:7
The Last Resort 33%Dripmen 67%
The model gave 67% on Dripmen — the map was taken by The Last Resort.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Last Resort · 69%
Series resultThe Last Resort 3:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 4