ROG JOURNEY Summer 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nexus#159 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Metizport#52 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
OverpassMetizport ban
60%43%
Nexus · 1 mapedge Nexus +17%Metizport · 3 maps
MirageNexus ban
40%50%
Nexus · 1 mapedge Metizport +10%Metizport · 2 maps
NukeNexus ban
50%57%
Nexus · 0 mapsedge Metizport +7%Metizport · 3 maps
AnubisNexus pick
67%50%
Nexus · 2 mapsedge Nexus +17%Metizport · 0 maps
InfernoMetizport ban
50%50%
Nexus · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Metizport · 0 maps
DefaultMetizport pick
50%60%
Nexus · 0 mapsedge Metizport +10%Metizport · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNexus remove Nuke
2. BanMetizport remove Inferno
3. PickNexus take Anubis
4. PickMetizport take Default
5. BanMetizport remove Overpass
6. BanNexus remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction missed0:13
Nexus 69%Metizport 31%
The model gave 69% on Nexus — the map was taken by Metizport.
Infernoprediction correct3:13
Nexus 47%Metizport 53%
The model gave 53% on Metizport — the map was taken by Metizport.
Model check result
Model favoriteMetizport · 65%
Series resultMetizport 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2