CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 2:0
G2 Ares#103 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
53%54%
PsychoFace · 15 mapsnearly even -1%G2 Ares · 9 maps
MirageG2 Ares pick
36%60%
PsychoFace · 7 mapsedge G2 Ares +24%G2 Ares · 11 maps
OverpassPsychoFace pick
70%46%
PsychoFace · 6 mapsedge PsychoFace +24%G2 Ares · 9 maps
AncientPsychoFace ban
25%55%
PsychoFace · 4 mapsedge G2 Ares +30%G2 Ares · 7 maps
InfernoPsychoFace ban
50%62%
PsychoFace · 0 mapsedge G2 Ares +12%G2 Ares · 9 maps
NukeG2 Ares ban
42%50%
PsychoFace · 8 mapsedge G2 Ares +8%G2 Ares · 0 maps
AnubisG2 Ares ban
44%67%
PsychoFace · 5 mapsedge G2 Ares +23%G2 Ares · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPsychoFace remove Inferno
2. BanG2 Ares remove Nuke
3. PickPsychoFace take Overpass
4. PickG2 Ares take Mirage
5. BanG2 Ares remove Anubis
6. BanPsychoFace remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (53% / 54%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:7
PsychoFace 25%G2 Ares 75%
The model gave 75% on G2 Ares — the map was taken by PsychoFace.
Overpassprediction correct13:11
PsychoFace 75%G2 Ares 25%
The model gave 75% on PsychoFace — the map was taken by PsychoFace.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Ares · 63%
Series resultPsychoFace 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2