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CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
RUSTEC#124 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:1
HEROIC Academy#100 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageHEROIC Academy pick
50%50%
RUSTEC · 6 mapsnearly even +0%HEROIC Academy · 14 maps
Dust2HEROIC Academy ban
33%27%
RUSTEC · 11 mapsedge RUSTEC +6%HEROIC Academy · 7 maps
AnubisRUSTEC ban
40%50%
RUSTEC · 1 mapedge HEROIC Academy +10%HEROIC Academy · 10 maps
NukeHEROIC Academy ban
40%29%
RUSTEC · 6 mapsedge RUSTEC +11%HEROIC Academy · 3 maps
Overpasspossible decider
44%38%
RUSTEC · 5 mapsedge RUSTEC +6%HEROIC Academy · 4 maps
InfernoRUSTEC pick
71%33%
RUSTEC · 3 mapsedge RUSTEC +38%HEROIC Academy · 5 maps
AncientRUSTEC ban
50%45%
RUSTEC · 0 mapsedge RUSTEC +5%HEROIC Academy · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRUSTEC remove Anubis
2. BanHEROIC Academy remove Nuke
3. PickRUSTEC take Inferno
4. PickHEROIC Academy take Mirage
5. BanHEROIC Academy remove Dust2
6. BanRUSTEC remove Ancient
DeciderOverpass (44% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:10
RUSTEC 85%HEROIC Academy 15%
The model gave 85% on RUSTEC — the map was taken by RUSTEC.
Anubisprediction correct7:13
RUSTEC 37%HEROIC Academy 63%
The model gave 63% on HEROIC Academy — the map was taken by HEROIC Academy.
Dust2prediction correct16:12
RUSTEC 57%HEROIC Academy 43%
The model gave 57% on RUSTEC — the map was taken by RUSTEC.
Model check result
Model favoriteRUSTEC · 58%
Series resultRUSTEC 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3