ROG JOURNEY Summer 2026 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Gatorianwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientGatorian pick
50%57%
By Legends · 0 mapsedge Gatorian +7%Gatorian · 3 maps
MirageBy Legends pick
50%33%
By Legends · 0 mapsedge By Legends +17%Gatorian · 2 maps
NukeBy Legends ban
40%60%
By Legends · 1 mapedge Gatorian +20%Gatorian · 1 map
AnubisGatorian ban
50%40%
By Legends · 0 mapsedge By Legends +10%Gatorian · 1 map
Dust2By Legends ban
50%40%
By Legends · 0 mapsedge By Legends +10%Gatorian · 1 map
InfernoGatorian ban
40%50%
By Legends · 1 mapedge Gatorian +10%Gatorian · 0 maps
Overpasspossible decider
50%40%
By Legends · 0 mapsedge By Legends +10%Gatorian · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBy Legends remove Dust2
2. BanGatorian remove Inferno
3. PickBy Legends take Mirage
4. PickGatorian take Ancient
5. BanGatorian remove Anubis
6. BanBy Legends remove Nuke
DeciderOverpass (50% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct10:13
By Legends 28%Gatorian 72%
The model gave 72% on Gatorian — the map was taken by Gatorian.
Ancientprediction correct5:13
By Legends 46%Gatorian 54%
The model gave 54% on Gatorian — the map was taken by Gatorian.
Model check result
Model favoriteBy Legends · 50%
Series resultGatorian 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2