ROG JOURNEY Summer 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
PURE#126 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Nexus#159 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisPURE ban
33%50%
PURE · 2 mapsedge Nexus +17%Nexus · 0 maps
Dust2Nexus pick
33%50%
PURE · 2 mapsedge Nexus +17%Nexus · 0 maps
MirageNexus ban
50%50%
PURE · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Nexus · 0 maps
NukePURE pick
50%50%
PURE · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Nexus · 0 maps
AncientNexus ban
60%50%
PURE · 1 mapedge PURE +10%Nexus · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPURE remove Anubis
2. BanNexus remove Ancient
3. PickPURE take Nuke
4. PickNexus take Dust2
5. BanNexus remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct4:13
PURE 31%Nexus 69%
The model gave 69% on Nexus — the map was taken by Nexus.
Mirageprediction correct16:12
PURE 53%Nexus 47%
The model gave 53% on PURE — the map was taken by PURE.
Infernoprediction missed11:13
PURE 50%Nexus 50%
The model gave 50% on PURE — the map was taken by Nexus.
Model check result
Model favoritePURE · 58%
Series resultNexus 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3