ROG JOURNEY Summer 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Entropy#159 in the world · win 2:1series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Gatorianloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientGatorian pick
50%50%
Entropy · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Gatorian · 2 maps
AnubisEntropy pick
44%40%
Entropy · 5 mapsnearly even +4%Gatorian · 1 map
Miragepossible decider
38%40%
Entropy · 4 mapsnearly even -2%Gatorian · 1 map
OverpassEntropy ban
29%50%
Entropy · 3 mapsedge Gatorian +21%Gatorian · 0 maps
InfernoGatorian ban
33%50%
Entropy · 2 mapsedge Gatorian +17%Gatorian · 0 maps
Dust2Gatorian ban
50%40%
Entropy · 0 mapsedge Entropy +10%Gatorian · 1 map
NukeEntropy ban
50%60%
Entropy · 0 mapsedge Gatorian +10%Gatorian · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEntropy remove Nuke
2. BanGatorian remove Inferno
3. PickEntropy take Anubis
4. PickGatorian take Ancient
5. BanGatorian remove Dust2
6. BanEntropy remove Overpass
DeciderMirage (38% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:11
Entropy 44%Gatorian 56%
The model gave 56% on Gatorian — the map was taken by Entropy.
Ancientprediction missed11:13
Entropy 53%Gatorian 47%
The model gave 53% on Entropy — the map was taken by Gatorian.
Overpassprediction missed13:6
Entropy 29%Gatorian 71%
The model gave 71% on Gatorian — the map was taken by Entropy.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntropy · 53%
Series resultEntropy 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3