ROG JOURNEY Summer 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
fnatic#36 in the world · win 2:0series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Minkens finestloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Anubisfnatic pick
46%50%
fnatic · 9 mapsnearly even -4%Minkens finest · 0 maps
InfernoMinkens finest ban
75%50%
fnatic · 8 mapsedge fnatic +25%Minkens finest · 0 maps
MirageMinkens finest ban
58%50%
fnatic · 8 mapsedge fnatic +8%Minkens finest · 0 maps
Dust2Minkens finest pick
36%50%
fnatic · 7 mapsedge Minkens finest +14%Minkens finest · 0 maps
Ancientfnatic ban
56%50%
fnatic · 5 mapsedge fnatic +6%Minkens finest · 0 maps
Overpassfnatic ban
40%50%
fnatic · 1 mapedge Minkens finest +10%Minkens finest · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banfnatic remove Overpass
2. BanMinkens finest remove Inferno
3. Pickfnatic take Anubis
4. PickMinkens finest take Dust2
5. BanMinkens finest remove Mirage
6. Banfnatic remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:3
fnatic 55%Minkens finest 45%
The model gave 55% on fnatic — the map was taken by fnatic.
Anubisprediction missed13:2
fnatic 49%Minkens finest 51%
The model gave 51% on Minkens finest — the map was taken by fnatic.
Model check result
Model favoritefnatic · 79%
Series resultfnatic 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2