ROG JOURNEY Summer 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
6666#80 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
15%85%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Alliance#22 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoAlliance pick
40%73%
6666 · 1 mapedge Alliance +33%Alliance · 7 maps
Nuke6666 ban
50%45%
6666 · 0 mapsedge 6666 +5%Alliance · 7 maps
Ancient6666 pick
50%43%
6666 · 2 mapsedge 6666 +7%Alliance · 3 maps
Anubispossible decider
50%33%
6666 · 0 mapsedge 6666 +17%Alliance · 5 maps
Dust26666 ban
50%50%
6666 · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Alliance · 4 maps
OverpassAlliance ban
50%33%
6666 · 0 mapsedge 6666 +17%Alliance · 2 maps
MirageAlliance ban
60%50%
6666 · 1 mapedge 6666 +10%Alliance · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban6666 remove Dust2
2. BanAlliance remove Mirage
3. Pick6666 take Ancient
4. PickAlliance take Inferno
5. BanAlliance remove Overpass
6. Ban6666 remove Nuke
DeciderAnubis (50% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed7:13
6666 60%Alliance 40%
The model gave 60% on 6666 — the map was taken by Alliance.
Infernoprediction correct4:13
6666 18%Alliance 82%
The model gave 82% on Alliance — the map was taken by Alliance.
Model check result
Model favoriteAlliance · 85%
Series resultAlliance 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2