BetBoom Storm Season 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Imperial#51 in the world · win 2:1series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Galorys#68 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Galorys ban
50%43%
Imperial · 10 mapsedge Imperial +7%Galorys · 10 maps
MirageImperial pick
58%67%
Imperial · 15 mapsedge Galorys +9%Galorys · 5 maps
Nukepossible decider
73%54%
Imperial · 11 mapsedge Imperial +19%Galorys · 9 maps
InfernoGalorys ban
61%40%
Imperial · 14 mapsedge Imperial +21%Galorys · 1 map
AncientImperial ban
50%64%
Imperial · 0 mapsedge Galorys +14%Galorys · 10 maps
OverpassGalorys pick
40%54%
Imperial · 1 mapedge Galorys +14%Galorys · 9 maps
CacheImperial ban
56%40%
Imperial · 5 mapsedge Imperial +16%Galorys · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanImperial remove Ancient
2. BanGalorys remove Inferno
3. PickImperial take Mirage
4. PickGalorys take Overpass
5. BanGalorys remove Dust2
6. BanImperial remove Cache
DeciderNuke (73% / 54%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:16
Imperial 73%Galorys 27%
The model gave 73% on Imperial — the map was taken by Galorys.
Anubisprediction missed13:10
Imperial 47%Galorys 53%
The model gave 53% on Galorys — the map was taken by Imperial.
Infernoprediction correct13:8
Imperial 70%Galorys 30%
The model gave 70% on Imperial — the map was taken by Imperial.
Model check result
Model favoriteImperial · 81%
Series resultImperial 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3