BetBoom Storm Season 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
BESTIA#65 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Yawara#156 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BESTIA pick
74%61%
BESTIA · 15 mapsedge BESTIA +13%Yawara · 14 maps
MirageYawara pick
75%60%
BESTIA · 4 mapsedge BESTIA +15%Yawara · 16 maps
Ancientpossible decider
56%44%
BESTIA · 5 mapsedge BESTIA +12%Yawara · 12 maps
InfernoBESTIA ban
40%60%
BESTIA · 6 mapsedge Yawara +20%Yawara · 6 maps
NukeYawara ban
60%50%
BESTIA · 6 mapsedge BESTIA +10%Yawara · 0 maps
AnubisBESTIA ban
50%44%
BESTIA · 0 mapsedge BESTIA +6%Yawara · 5 maps
CacheYawara ban
50%40%
BESTIA · 4 mapsedge BESTIA +10%Yawara · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBESTIA remove Anubis
2. BanYawara remove Nuke
3. PickBESTIA take Dust2
4. PickYawara take Mirage
5. BanYawara remove Cache
6. BanBESTIA remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (56% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed8:13
BESTIA 64%Yawara 36%
The model gave 64% on BESTIA — the map was taken by Yawara.
Dust2prediction missed9:13
BESTIA 67%Yawara 33%
The model gave 67% on BESTIA — the map was taken by Yawara.
Model check result
Model favoriteBESTIA · 70%
Series resultYawara 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2