ESEA Advanced Season 57 North America · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Omen#216 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2raisedbypixels ban
40%50%
raisedbypixels · 1 mapedge Omen +10%Omen · 0 maps
MirageOmen ban
40%50%
raisedbypixels · 1 mapedge Omen +10%Omen · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banraisedbypixels remove Dust2
2. BanOmen remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
raisedbypixels 50%Omen 50%
The model gave 50% on raisedbypixels — the map was taken by Omen.
Model check result
Model favoriteOmen · 50%
Series resultOmen 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1