POWER Ligaen Season 32 · BO3
result vs prediction
Invicta#225 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Sashi Academy#169 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoSashi Academy pick
50%57%
Invicta · 2 mapsedge Sashi Academy +7%Sashi Academy · 3 maps
AncientSashi Academy ban
40%43%
Invicta · 1 mapnearly even -3%Sashi Academy · 3 maps
NukeInvicta ban
40%33%
Invicta · 1 mapedge Invicta +7%Sashi Academy · 2 maps
MirageInvicta pick
60%50%
Invicta · 1 mapedge Invicta +10%Sashi Academy · 0 maps
OverpassSashi Academy ban
50%40%
Invicta · 0 mapsedge Invicta +10%Sashi Academy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanInvicta remove Nuke
2. BanSashi Academy remove Overpass
3. PickInvicta take Mirage
4. PickSashi Academy take Inferno
5. BanSashi Academy remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed9:13
Invicta 63%Sashi Academy 37%
The model gave 63% on Invicta — the map was taken by Sashi Academy.
Infernoprediction correct6:13
Invicta 40%Sashi Academy 60%
The model gave 60% on Sashi Academy — the map was taken by Sashi Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteSashi Academy · 51%
Series resultSashi Academy 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2