POWER Ligaen Season 32 · BO1
result vs prediction
struggletonyloss 6:13series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 6:13
MASONIC#187 in the world · win 13:6The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
50%40%
struggletony · 0 mapsedge struggletony +10%MASONIC · 6 maps
Dust2struggletony ban
50%50%
struggletony · 0 mapsnearly even +0%MASONIC · 6 maps
Infernostruggletony ban
50%50%
struggletony · 0 mapsnearly even +0%MASONIC · 4 maps
Nukestruggletony ban
50%63%
struggletony · 0 mapsedge MASONIC +13%MASONIC · 4 maps
AnubisMASONIC ban
50%50%
struggletony · 0 mapsnearly even +0%MASONIC · 2 maps
OverpassMASONIC ban
50%50%
struggletony · 0 mapsnearly even +0%MASONIC · 2 maps
DefaultMASONIC ban
50%40%
struggletony · 0 mapsedge struggletony +10%MASONIC · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banstruggletony remove Nuke
2. BanMASONIC remove Anubis
3. Banstruggletony remove Dust2
4. BanMASONIC remove Overpass
5. Banstruggletony remove Inferno
6. BanMASONIC remove Default
DeciderAncient (50% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct6:13
struggletony 38%MASONIC 62%
The model gave 63% on MASONIC — the map was taken by MASONIC.
Model check result
Model favoriteMASONIC · 64%
Series resultMASONIC 6:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1