POWER Ligaen Season 32 · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 13:4
Invicta#225 in the world · loss 4:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientInvicta ban
50%40%
Washed · 0 mapsedge Washed +10%Invicta · 1 map
InfernoWashed ban
50%60%
Washed · 0 mapsedge Invicta +10%Invicta · 1 map
MirageWashed ban
50%60%
Washed · 0 mapsedge Invicta +10%Invicta · 1 map
Nukepossible decider
50%40%
Washed · 0 mapsedge Washed +10%Invicta · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWashed remove Inferno
2. BanInvicta remove Ancient
3. BanWashed remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (50% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:4
Washed 40%Invicta 60%
The model gave 60% on Invicta — the map was taken by Washed.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvicta · 55%
Series resultWashed 13:4
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1