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IEM Cologne Major 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
The MongolZ#16 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 1:2
BETBOOM#13 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BETBOOM pick
43%80%
The MongolZ · 3 mapsedge BETBOOM +37%BETBOOM · 6 maps
NukeThe MongolZ pick
60%58%
The MongolZ · 1 mapnearly even +2%BETBOOM · 8 maps
MirageBETBOOM ban
38%25%
The MongolZ · 4 mapsedge The MongolZ +13%BETBOOM · 4 maps
Ancientpossible decider
43%50%
The MongolZ · 3 mapsedge BETBOOM +7%BETBOOM · 2 maps
InfernoBETBOOM ban
71%50%
The MongolZ · 3 mapsedge The MongolZ +21%BETBOOM · 0 maps
AnubisThe MongolZ ban
50%67%
The MongolZ · 0 mapsedge BETBOOM +17%BETBOOM · 2 maps
OverpassThe MongolZ ban
40%40%
The MongolZ · 1 mapnearly even +0%BETBOOM · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanThe MongolZ remove Anubis
2. BanBETBOOM remove Inferno
3. PickThe MongolZ take Nuke
4. PickBETBOOM take Dust2
5. BanBETBOOM remove Mirage
6. BanThe MongolZ remove Overpass
DeciderAncient (43% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:11
The MongolZ 14%BETBOOM 86%
The model gave 86% on BETBOOM — the map was taken by The MongolZ.
Mirageprediction missed6:13
The MongolZ 67%BETBOOM 33%
The model gave 67% on The MongolZ — the map was taken by BETBOOM.
Ancientprediction correct11:13
The MongolZ 43%BETBOOM 57%
The model gave 57% on BETBOOM — the map was taken by BETBOOM.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe MongolZ · 63%
Series resultBETBOOM 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3