European Pro League Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Lazer Cats#117 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 1:2
GenOne#95 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GenOne pick
30%68%
Lazer Cats · 6 mapsedge GenOne +38%GenOne · 30 maps
AncientLazer Cats pick
55%48%
Lazer Cats · 7 mapsedge Lazer Cats +7%GenOne · 17 maps
NukeLazer Cats ban
60%62%
Lazer Cats · 1 mapnearly even -2%GenOne · 22 maps
Infernopossible decider
50%62%
Lazer Cats · 4 mapsedge GenOne +12%GenOne · 9 maps
OverpassLazer Cats ban
50%38%
Lazer Cats · 0 mapsedge Lazer Cats +12%GenOne · 12 maps
AnubisGenOne ban
50%58%
Lazer Cats · 2 mapsedge GenOne +8%GenOne · 8 maps
MirageGenOne ban
38%50%
Lazer Cats · 4 mapsedge GenOne +12%GenOne · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLazer Cats remove Overpass
2. BanGenOne remove Mirage
3. PickLazer Cats take Ancient
4. PickGenOne take Dust2
5. BanGenOne remove Anubis
6. BanLazer Cats remove Nuke
DeciderInferno (50% / 62%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct7:13
Lazer Cats 15%GenOne 85%
The model gave 85% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Ancientprediction correct13:8
Lazer Cats 60%GenOne 40%
The model gave 60% on Lazer Cats — the map was taken by Lazer Cats.
Anubisprediction correct5:13
Lazer Cats 42%GenOne 58%
The model gave 58% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteGenOne · 77%
Series resultGenOne 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3