CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
SPARTA#96 in the world · win 2:0series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
brazylijski luz#146 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientSPARTA ban
29%44%
SPARTA · 10 mapsedge brazylijski luz +15%brazylijski luz · 14 maps
Dust2SPARTA pick
60%60%
SPARTA · 16 mapsnearly even +0%brazylijski luz · 6 maps
MirageSPARTA ban
40%50%
SPARTA · 11 mapsedge brazylijski luz +10%brazylijski luz · 8 maps
Nukebrazylijski luz pick
46%58%
SPARTA · 9 mapsedge brazylijski luz +12%brazylijski luz · 8 maps
Overpassbrazylijski luz ban
50%50%
SPARTA · 6 mapsnearly even +0%brazylijski luz · 2 maps
Infernobrazylijski luz ban
40%40%
SPARTA · 6 mapsnearly even +0%brazylijski luz · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
40%57%
SPARTA · 1 mapedge brazylijski luz +17%brazylijski luz · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSPARTA remove Ancient
2. Banbrazylijski luz remove Inferno
3. PickSPARTA take Dust2
4. Pickbrazylijski luz take Nuke
5. Banbrazylijski luz remove Overpass
6. BanSPARTA remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (40% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:7
SPARTA 31%brazylijski luz 69%
The model gave 69% on brazylijski luz — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Dust2prediction correct13:5
SPARTA 53%brazylijski luz 47%
The model gave 53% on SPARTA — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Model check result
Model favoriteSPARTA · 53%
Series resultSPARTA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2