ESEA Season 58 Europe Finals · BO3
result vs prediction
Young TigeRES#156 in the worldseries probability
50%50%
probability at match start
TTBD
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeTBD ban
63%50%
Young TigeRES · 4 mapsedge Young TigeRES +13%TBD · 0 maps
Dust2Young TigeRES pick
57%50%
Young TigeRES · 3 mapsedge Young TigeRES +7%TBD · 0 maps
MirageTBD ban
57%50%
Young TigeRES · 3 mapsedge Young TigeRES +7%TBD · 0 maps
CacheTBD pick
33%50%
Young TigeRES · 2 mapsedge TBD +17%TBD · 0 maps
AnubisYoung TigeRES ban
40%50%
Young TigeRES · 1 mapedge TBD +10%TBD · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanYoung TigeRES remove Anubis
2. BanTBD remove Nuke
3. PickYoung TigeRES take Dust2
4. PickTBD take Cache
5. BanTBD remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Model check result
Model favoriteTBD · 50%