ESL Pro League Season 24 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM#13 in the world · win 2:0series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
M80#27 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheM80 pick
43%67%
BETBOOM · 3 mapsedge M80 +24%M80 · 11 maps
AncientBETBOOM ban
43%54%
BETBOOM · 3 mapsedge M80 +11%M80 · 9 maps
Miragepossible decider
57%46%
BETBOOM · 3 mapsedge BETBOOM +11%M80 · 9 maps
InfernoBETBOOM ban
50%47%
BETBOOM · 0 mapsnearly even +3%M80 · 11 maps
AnubisBETBOOM pick
50%50%
BETBOOM · 4 mapsnearly even +0%M80 · 4 maps
Dust2M80 ban
50%45%
BETBOOM · 0 mapsedge BETBOOM +5%M80 · 7 maps
NukeM80 ban
43%50%
BETBOOM · 3 mapsedge M80 +7%M80 · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBETBOOM remove Inferno
2. BanM80 remove Nuke
3. PickBETBOOM take Anubis
4. PickM80 take Cache
5. BanM80 remove Dust2
6. BanBETBOOM remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (57% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed16:14
BETBOOM 25%M80 75%
The model gave 75% on M80 — the map was taken by BETBOOM.
Anubisprediction correct13:11
BETBOOM 53%M80 47%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM — the map was taken by BETBOOM.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM · 69%
Series resultBETBOOM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2