1xBet FRAG Season 18 · BO1
result vs prediction
Bushido Wildcats#82 in the world · loss 8:13series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 8:13
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2VISION ban
72%50%
Bushido Wildcats · 46 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +22%VISION · 0 maps
MirageVISION ban
55%50%
Bushido Wildcats · 34 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +5%VISION · 0 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%50%
Bushido Wildcats · 30 mapsnearly even +0%VISION · 0 maps
CacheBushido Wildcats ban
59%50%
Bushido Wildcats · 18 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +9%VISION · 0 maps
AnubisBushido Wildcats ban
50%50%
Bushido Wildcats · 12 mapsnearly even +0%VISION · 0 maps
InfernoBushido Wildcats ban
44%50%
Bushido Wildcats · 12 mapsedge VISION +6%VISION · 0 maps
DefaultVISION ban
80%50%
Bushido Wildcats · 6 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +30%VISION · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBushido Wildcats remove Inferno
2. BanVISION remove Default
3. BanBushido Wildcats remove Anubis
4. BanVISION remove Dust2
5. BanBushido Wildcats remove Cache
6. BanVISION remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed8:13
Bushido Wildcats 72%VISION 28%
The model gave 72% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by VISION.
Model check result
Model favoriteBushido Wildcats · 76%
Series resultVISION 8:13
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1