1xBet FRAG Season 18 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Bushido Wildcats#82 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2VISION pick
50%71%
VISION · 2 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +21%Bushido Wildcats · 47 maps
MirageBushido Wildcats pick
40%56%
VISION · 1 mapedge Bushido Wildcats +16%Bushido Wildcats · 35 maps
NukeVISION ban
50%50%
VISION · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Bushido Wildcats · 30 maps
CacheVISION ban
50%59%
VISION · 0 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +9%Bushido Wildcats · 18 maps
InfernoBushido Wildcats ban
50%47%
VISION · 0 mapsnearly even +3%Bushido Wildcats · 13 maps
AnubisBushido Wildcats ban
50%50%
VISION · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Bushido Wildcats · 12 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%73%
VISION · 0 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +23%Bushido Wildcats · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVISION remove Cache
2. BanBushido Wildcats remove Inferno
3. PickVISION take Dust2
4. PickBushido Wildcats take Mirage
5. BanBushido Wildcats remove Anubis
6. BanVISION remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (50% / 73%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct5:13
VISION 37%Bushido Wildcats 63%
The model gave 63% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Infernoprediction correct13:16
VISION 50%Bushido Wildcats 50%
The model gave 50% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Model check result
Model favoriteBushido Wildcats · 68%
Series resultBushido Wildcats 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2