WINLINE MPKBK CIS LAN Season 8 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoDARKWALL pick
40%40%
DARKWALL · 1 mapnearly even +0%krytiepacani · 1 map
AncientDARKWALL ban
40%50%
DARKWALL · 1 mapedge krytiepacani +10%krytiepacani · 0 maps
Nukekrytiepacani ban
50%40%
DARKWALL · 0 mapsedge DARKWALL +10%krytiepacani · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDARKWALL remove Ancient
2. Bankrytiepacani remove Nuke
3. PickDARKWALL take Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct5:13
DARKWALL 43%krytiepacani 57%
The model gave 57% on krytiepacani — the map was taken by krytiepacani.
Dust2prediction correct1:13
DARKWALL 47%krytiepacani 53%
The model gave 53% on krytiepacani — the map was taken by krytiepacani.
Model check result
Model favoriteDARKWALL · 50%
Series resultkrytiepacani 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2