NODWIN Clutch Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Betclic#65 in the world · win 1:0series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Atreides#147 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageAtreides pick
25%80%
Betclic · 4 mapsedge Atreides +55%Atreides · 11 maps
Nukepossible decider
38%63%
Betclic · 9 mapsedge Atreides +25%Atreides · 4 maps
AncientBetclic ban
38%58%
Betclic · 4 mapsedge Atreides +20%Atreides · 8 maps
OverpassBetclic pick
50%43%
Betclic · 2 mapsedge Betclic +7%Atreides · 10 maps
AnubisAtreides ban
77%50%
Betclic · 9 mapsedge Betclic +27%Atreides · 0 maps
Dust2Atreides ban
38%33%
Betclic · 4 mapsedge Betclic +5%Atreides · 5 maps
InfernoBetclic ban
29%67%
Betclic · 3 mapsedge Atreides +38%Atreides · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBetclic remove Inferno
2. BanAtreides remove Anubis
3. PickBetclic take Overpass
4. PickAtreides take Mirage
5. BanAtreides remove Dust2
6. BanBetclic remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (38% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Betclic 50%Atreides 50%
The model gave 50% on Betclic — the map was taken by Betclic.
Model check result
Model favoriteAtreides · 59%
Series resultBetclic 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1