IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 · BO1
result vs prediction
BETBOOM#14 in the world · win 13:9series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 13:9
GamerLegion#22 in the world · loss 9:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageBETBOOM ban
29%42%
BETBOOM · 3 mapsedge GamerLegion +13%GamerLegion · 8 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%67%
BETBOOM · 6 mapsedge GamerLegion +17%GamerLegion · 5 maps
AncientGamerLegion ban
50%55%
BETBOOM · 2 mapsedge GamerLegion +5%GamerLegion · 7 maps
InfernoBETBOOM ban
50%67%
BETBOOM · 0 mapsedge GamerLegion +17%GamerLegion · 8 maps
OverpassBETBOOM ban
40%50%
BETBOOM · 1 mapedge GamerLegion +10%GamerLegion · 4 maps
Dust2GamerLegion ban
75%50%
BETBOOM · 4 mapsedge BETBOOM +25%GamerLegion · 0 maps
AnubisGamerLegion ban
67%50%
BETBOOM · 2 mapsedge BETBOOM +17%GamerLegion · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBETBOOM remove Inferno
2. BanGamerLegion remove Dust2
3. BanBETBOOM remove Mirage
4. BanGamerLegion remove Anubis
5. BanBETBOOM remove Overpass
6. BanGamerLegion remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (50% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:9
BETBOOM 33%GamerLegion 67%
The model gave 67% on GamerLegion — the map was taken by BETBOOM.
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 57%
Series resultBETBOOM 13:9
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1