CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Fire Flux#103 in the world · win 2:1series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:1
ROUNDS#231 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ROUNDS ban
50%29%
Fire Flux · 14 mapsedge Fire Flux +21%ROUNDS · 3 maps
NukeROUNDS pick
55%38%
Fire Flux · 7 mapsedge Fire Flux +17%ROUNDS · 9 maps
MirageFire Flux ban
38%20%
Fire Flux · 9 mapsedge Fire Flux +18%ROUNDS · 6 maps
Infernopossible decider
64%57%
Fire Flux · 10 mapsedge Fire Flux +7%ROUNDS · 3 maps
CacheFire Flux pick
57%33%
Fire Flux · 10 mapsedge Fire Flux +24%ROUNDS · 2 maps
AnubisROUNDS ban
64%50%
Fire Flux · 10 mapsedge Fire Flux +14%ROUNDS · 0 maps
AncientFire Flux ban
29%50%
Fire Flux · 3 mapsedge ROUNDS +21%ROUNDS · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFire Flux remove Ancient
2. BanROUNDS remove Anubis
3. PickFire Flux take Cache
4. PickROUNDS take Nuke
5. BanROUNDS remove Dust2
6. BanFire Flux remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (64% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:2
Fire Flux 67%ROUNDS 33%
The model gave 67% on Fire Flux — the map was taken by Fire Flux.
Ancientprediction correct14:16
Fire Flux 26%ROUNDS 74%
The model gave 74% on ROUNDS — the map was taken by ROUNDS.
Mirageprediction correct13:8
Fire Flux 71%ROUNDS 29%
The model gave 71% on Fire Flux — the map was taken by Fire Flux.
Model check result
Model favoriteFire Flux · 65%
Series resultFire Flux 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3