CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Leo#89 in the world · win 2:0series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NEW VISION#204 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientNEW VISION pick
33%40%
Leo · 5 mapsedge NEW VISION +7%NEW VISION · 6 maps
Anubispossible decider
33%43%
Leo · 8 mapsedge NEW VISION +10%NEW VISION · 3 maps
Dust2Leo pick
64%63%
Leo · 7 mapsnearly even +1%NEW VISION · 4 maps
NukeLeo ban
33%57%
Leo · 2 mapsedge NEW VISION +24%NEW VISION · 3 maps
InfernoNEW VISION ban
60%43%
Leo · 1 mapedge Leo +17%NEW VISION · 3 maps
MirageNEW VISION ban
67%40%
Leo · 2 mapsedge Leo +27%NEW VISION · 1 map
DefaultLeo ban
50%60%
Leo · 0 mapsedge NEW VISION +10%NEW VISION · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLeo remove Nuke
2. BanNEW VISION remove Inferno
3. PickLeo take Dust2
4. PickNEW VISION take Ancient
5. BanNEW VISION remove Mirage
6. BanLeo remove Default
DeciderAnubis (33% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:3
Leo 54%NEW VISION 46%
The model gave 54% on Leo — the map was taken by Leo.
Anubisprediction missed13:7
Leo 37%NEW VISION 63%
The model gave 63% on NEW VISION — the map was taken by Leo.
Model check result
Model favoriteLeo · 54%
Series resultLeo 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2