CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
100 Thieves#37 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
64%75%
ex-RUBY · 18 mapsedge 100 Thieves +11%100 Thieves · 4 maps
Nukeex-RUBY pick
80%50%
ex-RUBY · 16 mapsedge ex-RUBY +30%100 Thieves · 6 maps
Ancient100 Thieves pick
43%62%
ex-RUBY · 10 mapsedge 100 Thieves +19%100 Thieves · 9 maps
Mirageex-RUBY ban
44%50%
ex-RUBY · 12 mapsedge 100 Thieves +6%100 Thieves · 6 maps
Overpass100 Thieves ban
54%60%
ex-RUBY · 9 mapsedge 100 Thieves +6%100 Thieves · 1 map
Infernoex-RUBY ban
50%55%
ex-RUBY · 0 mapsedge 100 Thieves +5%100 Thieves · 7 maps
Anubis100 Thieves ban
60%60%
ex-RUBY · 1 mapnearly even +0%100 Thieves · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-RUBY remove Inferno
2. Ban100 Thieves remove Anubis
3. Pickex-RUBY take Nuke
4. Pick100 Thieves take Ancient
5. Ban100 Thieves remove Overpass
6. Banex-RUBY remove Mirage
DeciderDust2 (64% / 75%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct9:13
ex-RUBY 29%100 Thieves 71%
The model gave 71% on 100 Thieves — the map was taken by 100 Thieves.
Dust2prediction correct6:13
ex-RUBY 40%100 Thieves 60%
The model gave 60% on 100 Thieves — the map was taken by 100 Thieves.
Model check result
Model favorite100 Thieves · 55%
Series result100 Thieves 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2