NODWIN Clutch Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Betclic#65 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 1:2
INOX Division#66 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeINOX Division pick
42%68%
Betclic · 8 mapsedge INOX Division +26%INOX Division · 15 maps
Dust2possible decider
43%69%
Betclic · 3 mapsedge INOX Division +26%INOX Division · 12 maps
InfernoBetclic ban
29%57%
Betclic · 3 mapsedge INOX Division +28%INOX Division · 10 maps
AnubisBetclic pick
75%50%
Betclic · 8 mapsedge Betclic +25%INOX Division · 4 maps
AncientINOX Division ban
38%64%
Betclic · 4 mapsedge INOX Division +26%INOX Division · 7 maps
OverpassBetclic ban
50%62%
Betclic · 2 mapsedge INOX Division +12%INOX Division · 9 maps
MirageINOX Division ban
25%50%
Betclic · 4 mapsedge INOX Division +25%INOX Division · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBetclic remove Inferno
2. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
3. PickBetclic take Anubis
4. PickINOX Division take Nuke
5. BanINOX Division remove Ancient
6. BanBetclic remove Overpass
DeciderDust2 (43% / 69%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct8:13
Betclic 23%INOX Division 77%
The model gave 77% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Anubisprediction correct13:9
Betclic 77%INOX Division 23%
The model gave 77% on Betclic — the map was taken by Betclic.
Nukeprediction correct10:13
Betclic 25%INOX Division 75%
The model gave 75% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Model check result
Model favoriteINOX Division · 74%
Series resultINOX Division 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3