IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 · BO1
result vs prediction
FUT#8 in the world · win 13:9series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 13:9
TYLOO#33 in the world · loss 9:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientTYLOO ban
57%40%
FUT · 3 mapsedge FUT +17%TYLOO · 11 maps
MirageFUT ban
33%71%
FUT · 2 mapsedge TYLOO +38%TYLOO · 10 maps
InfernoFUT ban
50%73%
FUT · 0 mapsedge TYLOO +23%TYLOO · 11 maps
NukeTYLOO ban
29%55%
FUT · 3 mapsedge TYLOO +26%TYLOO · 7 maps
Overpasspossible decider
57%60%
FUT · 3 mapsnearly even -3%TYLOO · 6 maps
AnubisFUT ban
50%67%
FUT · 0 mapsedge TYLOO +17%TYLOO · 2 maps
Dust2TYLOO ban
50%50%
FUT · 2 mapsnearly even +0%TYLOO · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFUT remove Inferno
2. BanTYLOO remove Dust2
3. BanFUT remove Mirage
4. BanTYLOO remove Ancient
5. BanFUT remove Anubis
6. BanTYLOO remove Nuke
DeciderOverpass (57% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction missed13:9
FUT 47%TYLOO 53%
The model gave 53% on TYLOO — the map was taken by FUT.
Model check result
Model favoriteFUT · 67%
Series resultFUT 13:9
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1