Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
EYEBALLERS#43 in the world · win 2:0series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientREVENIX ban
50%50%
EYEBALLERS · 4 mapsnearly even +0%REVENIX · 0 maps
Dust2possible decider
43%50%
EYEBALLERS · 3 mapsedge REVENIX +7%REVENIX · 0 maps
InfernoEYEBALLERS pick
57%50%
EYEBALLERS · 3 mapsedge EYEBALLERS +7%REVENIX · 0 maps
CacheEYEBALLERS ban
33%50%
EYEBALLERS · 2 mapsedge REVENIX +17%REVENIX · 0 maps
MirageREVENIX pick
33%50%
EYEBALLERS · 2 mapsedge REVENIX +17%REVENIX · 0 maps
NukeEYEBALLERS ban
50%50%
EYEBALLERS · 2 mapsnearly even +0%REVENIX · 0 maps
OverpassREVENIX ban
60%50%
EYEBALLERS · 1 mapedge EYEBALLERS +10%REVENIX · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEYEBALLERS remove Cache
2. BanREVENIX remove Overpass
3. PickEYEBALLERS take Inferno
4. PickREVENIX take Mirage
5. BanREVENIX remove Ancient
6. BanEYEBALLERS remove Nuke
DeciderDust2 (43% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:6
EYEBALLERS 47%REVENIX 53%
The model gave 53% on REVENIX — the map was taken by EYEBALLERS.
Ancientprediction correct13:1
EYEBALLERS 53%REVENIX 47%
The model gave 53% on EYEBALLERS — the map was taken by EYEBALLERS.
Model check result
Model favoriteEYEBALLERS · 86%
Series resultEYEBALLERS 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2