Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
K27#44 in the world · win 2:0series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageK27 pick
59%50%
K27 · 13 mapsedge K27 +9%Dark Tigre · 0 maps
NukeK27 ban
24%50%
K27 · 13 mapsedge Dark Tigre +26%Dark Tigre · 0 maps
Ancientpossible decider
60%50%
K27 · 11 mapsedge K27 +10%Dark Tigre · 0 maps
Dust2K27 ban
60%50%
K27 · 6 mapsedge K27 +10%Dark Tigre · 0 maps
OverpassDark Tigre ban
60%50%
K27 · 6 mapsedge K27 +10%Dark Tigre · 0 maps
AnubisDark Tigre pick
38%50%
K27 · 4 mapsedge Dark Tigre +12%Dark Tigre · 0 maps
CacheDark Tigre ban
67%50%
K27 · 2 mapsedge K27 +17%Dark Tigre · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanK27 remove Nuke
2. BanDark Tigre remove Cache
3. PickK27 take Mirage
4. PickDark Tigre take Anubis
5. BanDark Tigre remove Overpass
6. BanK27 remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:0
K27 35%Dark Tigre 65%
The model gave 65% on Dark Tigre — the map was taken by K27.
Mirageprediction correct13:1
K27 62%Dark Tigre 38%
The model gave 62% on K27 — the map was taken by K27.
Model check result
Model favoriteK27 · 84%
Series resultK27 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2