Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
1win#33 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BC.Game#60 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageBC.Game pick
41%60%
1win · 13 mapsedge BC.Game +19%BC.Game · 6 maps
Dust21win pick
60%29%
1win · 11 mapsedge 1win +31%BC.Game · 3 maps
AncientBC.Game ban
64%50%
1win · 10 mapsedge 1win +14%BC.Game · 0 maps
Anubis1win ban
36%40%
1win · 7 mapsnearly even -4%BC.Game · 1 map
Cachepossible decider
67%67%
1win · 5 mapsnearly even +0%BC.Game · 2 maps
Overpass1win ban
33%40%
1win · 5 mapsedge BC.Game +7%BC.Game · 1 map
InfernoBC.Game ban
71%60%
1win · 3 mapsedge 1win +11%BC.Game · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban1win remove Anubis
2. BanBC.Game remove Ancient
3. Pick1win take Dust2
4. PickBC.Game take Mirage
5. BanBC.Game remove Inferno
6. Ban1win remove Overpass
DeciderCache (67% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct6:13
1win 47%BC.Game 53%
The model gave 53% on BC.Game — the map was taken by BC.Game.
Dust2prediction missed5:13
1win 81%BC.Game 19%
The model gave 81% on 1win — the map was taken by BC.Game.
Model check result
Model favoriteBC.Game · 50%
Series resultBC.Game 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2