CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
ROUNDS#231 in the world · win 1:0series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageMai Tai pick
18%35%
ROUNDS · 7 mapsedge Mai Tai +17%Mai Tai · 19 maps
DefaultMai Tai ban
75%30%
ROUNDS · 4 mapsedge ROUNDS +45%Mai Tai · 19 maps
NukeROUNDS pick
38%31%
ROUNDS · 9 mapsedge ROUNDS +7%Mai Tai · 9 maps
Ancientpossible decider
56%43%
ROUNDS · 5 mapsedge ROUNDS +13%Mai Tai · 10 maps
Dust2Mai Tai ban
29%33%
ROUNDS · 3 mapsnearly even -4%Mai Tai · 8 maps
AnubisROUNDS ban
40%36%
ROUNDS · 1 mapnearly even +4%Mai Tai · 7 maps
CacheROUNDS ban
33%50%
ROUNDS · 2 mapsedge Mai Tai +17%Mai Tai · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanROUNDS remove Anubis
2. BanMai Tai remove Default
3. PickROUNDS take Nuke
4. PickMai Tai take Mirage
5. BanMai Tai remove Dust2
6. BanROUNDS remove Cache
DeciderAncient (56% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
ROUNDS 87%Mai Tai 13%
The model gave 87% on ROUNDS — the map was taken by ROUNDS.
Model check result
Model favoriteMai Tai · 58%
Series resultROUNDS 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1