IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
GamerLegion#22 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM#14 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
42%33%
GamerLegion · 8 mapsedge GamerLegion +9%BETBOOM · 2 maps
NukeGamerLegion pick
75%44%
GamerLegion · 4 mapsedge GamerLegion +31%BETBOOM · 5 maps
InfernoBETBOOM ban
67%50%
GamerLegion · 8 mapsedge GamerLegion +17%BETBOOM · 0 maps
AncientBETBOOM ban
63%40%
GamerLegion · 4 mapsedge GamerLegion +23%BETBOOM · 1 map
Dust2GamerLegion ban
50%75%
GamerLegion · 0 mapsedge BETBOOM +25%BETBOOM · 4 maps
OverpassGamerLegion ban
43%40%
GamerLegion · 3 mapsnearly even +3%BETBOOM · 1 map
AnubisBETBOOM pick
50%67%
GamerLegion · 0 mapsedge BETBOOM +17%BETBOOM · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGamerLegion remove Dust2
2. BanBETBOOM remove Inferno
3. PickGamerLegion take Nuke
4. PickBETBOOM take Anubis
5. BanBETBOOM remove Ancient
6. BanGamerLegion remove Overpass
DeciderMirage (42% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed2:13
GamerLegion 77%BETBOOM 23%
The model gave 77% on GamerLegion — the map was taken by BETBOOM.
Ancientprediction missed8:13
GamerLegion 74%BETBOOM 26%
The model gave 74% on GamerLegion — the map was taken by BETBOOM.
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 66%
Series resultBETBOOM 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2