CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Johnny Speeds#73 in the world · win 2:0series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TNC#147 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageTNC pick
33%65%
Johnny Speeds · 8 mapsedge TNC +32%TNC · 13 maps
Dust2possible decider
50%33%
Johnny Speeds · 8 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +17%TNC · 11 maps
AncientJohnny Speeds pick
63%53%
Johnny Speeds · 4 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +10%TNC · 13 maps
NukeJohnny Speeds ban
50%58%
Johnny Speeds · 0 mapsedge TNC +8%TNC · 15 maps
AnubisJohnny Speeds ban
25%67%
Johnny Speeds · 4 mapsedge TNC +42%TNC · 8 maps
OverpassTNC ban
57%38%
Johnny Speeds · 3 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +19%TNC · 4 maps
InfernoTNC ban
70%50%
Johnny Speeds · 6 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +20%TNC · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJohnny Speeds remove Nuke
2. BanTNC remove Inferno
3. PickJohnny Speeds take Ancient
4. PickTNC take Mirage
5. BanTNC remove Overpass
6. BanJohnny Speeds remove Anubis
DeciderDust2 (50% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct13:8
Johnny Speeds 71%TNC 29%
The model gave 71% on Johnny Speeds — the map was taken by Johnny Speeds.
Anubisprediction missed13:3
Johnny Speeds 13%TNC 87%
The model gave 87% on TNC — the map was taken by Johnny Speeds.
Model check result
Model favoriteJohnny Speeds · 51%
Series resultJohnny Speeds 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2